What Can You Expect in 2014?
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Today I wanted to talk to you about what you can expect in 2014. Just this past week, Chairman Bernanke made another announcement concerning tapering off the purchases of the mortgage-backed securities and bonds. We expected that interest rates might sharply go up again, although this time people had known this was coming since June and he is only going to taper the purchases by 8%. Bernanke also provided a long-range view of what to expect.
That being said, we hopefully won’t see the sharp and sudden rises in interest rates that did this past summer, but interest rates have crept up a bit. Also, after January 1st, many mortgage lenders will be under a whole new set of guidelines for processing loans and giving preapproval.
What does all this mean for you if you’re looking to buy or sell a home? If you’re a potential buyer, there probably won’t be any advantage in waiting. Inventory will most likely rebound and pick up in January-March which is a seasonal trend we always see from year to year, along with a rise in demand. This rise in inventory brings more competition compared to the fourth quarter of the year.
People are still predicting that interest rates will rise above 5% by the end of the year. With every 0.5% that interest rates rise, buyers lose 5% of their purchasing power. There is also enough demand in the Sacramento area where forecasts for equity appreciation range from 3-4% on the low end and 6-8% on the high end. We won’t see 2-3% appreciations per month the way we did before, but we won’t expect any decreases on the price side.
For sellers, everything we said about buyers affects you too. If you’re selling with the notion of moving as well, whether it’s moving in to something smaller or larger, there is no reason for you to wait either. Although prices are increasing, it isn’t enough to offset the rising interest rates. Furthermore, as this happens, your supply of buyers will be shrinking. The people who will be able to afford your home are buyers who had to back pedal and this makes your home look older and in worse condition than what they started looking at. If this continues into 2014, it will repeat what we saw last year.
I hope this information helps you make the best decision this year. Thanks and have a great day!